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Week 11 Preview: Seahawks at Chiefs
Seattle Seahawks (6-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-3)
Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Mo. – TV: FOX
*TV announcers: Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston, Tony Siragusa
*Keys to the game: The Seahawks racked up 350 rushing yards against the Giants to take over the top spot in the NFL rushing offense rankings, and present a Catch-22 for the Chiefs’ 20th-rated run defense that allowed 4.7 yards per carry. Seattle has returned to its run-first roots, with Marshawn Lynch breaking tackles and driving the offense. However, overplaying the dive play cost the Giants dearly with QB Russell Wilson keeping the ball and often going untouched around the end en route to 107 yards on 14 carries of his own.
The passing game is sputtering due to Wilson’s fledgling accuracy and mediocre receiving corps, and the Chiefs can turn this into a field position game if they’re able to wrap up Lynch and play sound assignment football in keeping tabs on Wilson.
Chiefs QB Alex Smith is familiar with the Seahawks’ physical defense from his days with the 49ers, and his ability to steadily move the chains could prove key against a defense that surprisingly allowed a 43.3 conversation percentage on third downs. Look for plenty of RB Jamaal Charles early as Kansas City seeks to stay out of long down-and-distance situations, and TE Travis Kelce could play a critical role with the Seahawks minus their best coverage linebacker in Bobby Wagner (turf toe).
*Matchup to watch – Seahawks RDT Kevin Williams vs. Chiefs LG Mike McGlynn & C Rodney Hudson: Seattle lost Brandon Mebane, its most important interior run stuffer, to a season-ending torn hamstring. The Seahawks will look to replace him with a rotation, led by former Vikings All-Pro Kevin Williams, who played 16 snaps last week, Jordan Hill and Demarcus Dobbs, among others. McGlynn was signed in last August and has held down the starting job in large part due to his extensive experience in coach Andy Reid’s offense.
*Player spotlight – Seahawks TE Tony Moeaki: The former Chief wasn’t active last Sunday after being signed mid-week, but is expected to step into a significant role against his old team with Zach Miller and Luke Willson sidelined by ankle injuries. Cooper Helfet also played 48 percent of the offensive snaps against the Giants.
*Fast facts: The Seahawks begin a stretch of six consecutive games against team that won at least 10 games last season. … Of Smith’s 11 touchdown passes, none have gone to wide receivers.
WHO WILL WIN AND WHY
With temperatures likely to be near – or below – freezing and a pair of run-based offenses, points should be at a premium. The Chiefs are healthier at key positions and at home, giving them the slight edge.
*Our pick: Chiefs 23-20
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