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10 Teams That Can’t Afford a Bad Draft

These 10 franchises are under the most pressure to score big on draft weekend.

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A few days back, we outlined 10 teams that are a good draft away from becoming serious contenders. Now, we’re going in the opposite direction. With the draft less than two weeks away, here is a look at the 10 teams that can least afford a poor draft.

1. Chicago Bears

The 2014 season in Chicago was a disaster, with a defense that was historically inept and an offense that never developed any cohesion. That resulted in sweeping changes, including a new general manager (Ryan Pace) and a new head coach (John Fox). The new regime will be given time to revive this struggling program, but a solid draft by Pace (a first-time general manager) would inspire confidence that better days are ahead. The Bears, like the Browns, are clearly the worst team in their division at this point; and the draft is the best way to start the long climb out of the cellar.

2. Cleveland Browns

The Browns whiffed on not one, but two first-round picks last year. Cleveland has not given up on CB Justin Gilbert or QB Johnny Manziel just yet, but to say those two disappointed as rookies would be an understatement. Coach Mike Pettine still managed to squeeze seven wins out of his team (with a big assist to the NFC South), but another bad draft could send the Browns stumbling downwards once again. The Browns have two first-round picks again this year and need to hit on both of them to have any chance of getting out of the AFC North basement.

3. Jacksonville Jaguars

Team owner Shahid Khan has been content to take a slow, deliberate approach to rebuilding his team. However, his patience has its limits. The Jaguars spent the last couple seasons infusing their roster with young talent, but have just seven wins to show for it. The time has come for coach Gus Bradley to start making some inroads in the win column and he needs another strong draft to make it happen. The Jaguars need a pass rusher (possibly Dante Fowler at No. 3); a running back; and more depth on the offensive line and in the secondary.

4. New Orleans Saints

The wheels came off for the Saints. In what should have been a cakewalk to the playoffs given the state of the NFC South, New Orleans instead stumbled to a 7-9 record that led to sweeping offseason changes. Gone are Jimmy Graham, Kenny Stills, Curtis Lofton, Ben Grubbs, Pierre Thomas and Patrick Robinson. In are Max Unger, Dannell Ellerbe, Brandon Browner and Kyle Wilson. It is easy to see why GM Mickey Loomis shook up a roster that had grown stale, but he needs to supplement his moves with a strong draft to get the Saints back into the playoff race.

5. Oakland Raiders

The Raiders enjoyed franchise-altering success in last year’s draft, tabbing a new leader for the defense (Khalil Mack) and offense (Derek Carr). Those two alone are enough to provide optimism for the future, but they weren’t enough to help the Raiders top the four-win barrier for the first time since 2011. That three-year drought coincides with the tenure of GM Reggie McKenzie, who enters the season squarely on the hot seat. If McKenzie can deliver another draft like last year’s, the Raiders will begin to climb up the standings in the AFC West. If not, Oakland will likely start the rebuilding process all over again.

6. San Diego Chargers

It’s tough to know what to expect from GM Tom Telesco. His first draft was incredible, with D.J. Fluker, Manti Te’o and Keenan Allen all emerging as high-level starters. Last year’s draft was far less impactful, although that was due to injuries more than anything else. Telesco has a chance to really reshape his roster in his third go-round, especially if he makes the ballsy move to trade away his franchise quarterback to move up and select Marcus Mariota. Regardless, if the Chargers don’t get more contributions from this year’s draft class, the odds of a serious playoff push are slim at best.

7. San Francisco 49ers

There’s no nice way to put it: it’s been a crappy offseason in San Francisco. Jim Harbaugh lost a power struggle with GM Trent Baalke, who has since seen six starters leave the Bay Area. That number could stretch to seven if Justin Smith decides to follow Patrick Willis and Chris Borland into retirement. The 49ers were already trending downwards, finishing 8-8 last season after averaging 12 wins over the previous three years. Baalke needs an outstanding draft to help offset his many losses and prove the organization was correct in backing him over Harbaugh.

8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Here’s another forthright assessment: Lovie Smith did an awful job last season. He mishandled the quarterback situation; he failed to create favorable match-ups for his offensive skill players; and he refused to alter his defensive schemes to fit the players he had on the roster. This draft is a chance at redemption, as the Buccaneers are in position to grab a true franchise QB (Jameis Winston) and add a few defenders who better fit Smith’s Cover-2 system. It better happen like that, too, if Smith has any designs on returning for a third season.

9. Tennessee Titans

Too many plans are failing to gain traction in the Music City. Mike Munchak failed to get the Titans into the playoffs in his three seasons in charge. He was replaced last season by Ken Whisenhunt, who was hired to revive the career of Jake Locker. Instead, Locker got hurt again and Whisenhunt led the Titans to their worst record since the team moved to Tennessee in 1997. Now the Titans must find a new franchise QB — be it Zach Mettenberger, Mariota or Philip Rivers — as well as another receiver and running back to revive an offense — and franchise — that has grown stagnant.

10. Washington Redskins

Welcome back to the first round, Redskins! Washington has lost more than twice as many games as its won over the last two seasons, so a return to the draft’s opening stanza comes just in time. The Redskins, like the Titans and Bucs, enter the second year of a new coaching regime. The difference is Smith and Whisenhunt have led teams to the Super Bowl before, while Jay Gruden can’t even handle his weekly press conference without wetting the bed. The Redskins need a good draft — and a good season — in order to show the progress needed to keep Gruden around beyond 2015.

Michael Lombardo has spent more than 10 years as a team expert at Scout.com, primarily covering the Chargers, Cardinals and Panthers. He has been published by the NFL Network, Fox Sports and other venues.

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